News

Rotten Tomatoes Predicts the Oscars 2018

by | March 1, 2018 | Comments

The 90th Academy Awards ceremony, which will take place on Sunday, March 4, promises to be an interesting one, featuring a mix of high profile films like Christopher Nolan’s Dunkirk and Guillermo del Toro’s The Shape of Water and smaller surprise hits like Jordan Peele’s Get Out and Greta Gerwig’s Lady Bird, among others. It’s always a tricky proposition to try and guess who’s going to win, but we here at Rotten Tomatoes have crunched the numbers, weighed the intangibles, and held lively discussions to determine who we think will come out on top. Read on for our full list of Oscar predictions, and let us know if you feel differently about any of them. Then, you can also pop over to our audience poll to see what fellow movie fans think will win, and you can even download your own RT Oscar ballot to keep score on the big night!


Best Picture: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017) 90%

(Photo by Merrick Morton /Fox Searchlight Pictures)

A couple of months ago, we would have told you that the Best Picture category was still too close to call. Suddenly, though, Martin McDonagh’s pitch black comedy picked up a lot of steam, winning top honors at the Golden Globes and the BAFTAs, while stars Frances McDormand and Sam Rockwell earned accolade after accolade along the way. With all of that in mind, we think Three Billboards will likely prevail over its competition.


Best Director: Guillermo del ToroThe Shape of Water (2017) 92%

(Photo by Kerry Hayes /Fox Searchlight Pictures)

It took deep passion and a lifelong obsession and empathy for movie monsters to make a love story like this work. And with Martin McDonagh not nominated in this category, here’s a fine opportunity to award a Best Director statue to del Toro over his Best Picture loss.


Best Actor: Gary OldmanDarkest Hour (2017) 85%

(Photo by Jack English/Focus Features)

Industry favorite Oldman completely transformed into British Prime Minister Winston Churchill for his role in Darkest Hour. Previously nominated in the same category for 2011’s Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, he fully inhabits the stooped, gruff Churchill, who struggles with a decision that will literally determine the fate of England and the rest of Europe, perhaps even the world: whether to negotiate with Adolf Hitler or continue the fight — each at a terrible price.


Best Actress: Frances McDormandThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017) 90%

(Photo by Fox Searchlight Pictures)

Got enough money to buy three billboards in Times Square, New York? Then bet it all on McDormand, the prohibitive favorite. She took out the SAG. She took out the Golden Globe (in the drama category). She took out the Oscar back in 1997 for Fargo. And she delivers a fierce performance in the most serious, emotionally draining role of the bunch. Only two questions remain: Will there be enough space on that stacked mantle for her 2018 trophy? And just how awesome will her speech be.


Best Supporting Actor: Sam RockwellThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017) 90%

(Photo by Merrick Morton/Fox Searchlight Pictures)

No matter where you stand on the character — the small-town cop’s journey from repugnant racist to near-hero has riled some viewers — there’s no doubting the impact of Rockwell’s performance. Any thought that Willem Dafoe would prove a neck-and-neck rival has long been buried under a pile of Golden Globes, SAGS, and BAFTAs all bearing the Moon star’s name.


Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney, I, Tonya (2018) 89%

(Photo by 30West)

Best Supporting Actress is truly Janney’s to lose. She’s been dominating the awards circuit for her portrayal as Tonya Harding’s loveless, abusive, bird-shouldered mother in a role that was literally written for her.


Best Original Screenplay: Get Out (2017) 98%

(Photo by Universal Pictures)

Get Out has proven it has steam. Jordan Peele’s hit has won most of the major awards in this category, and as rumors swirl that older academy voters aren’t even considering it for Best Picture, this seems like a (well deserved) consolation prize.


Best Adapted Screenplay: Call Me by Your Name (2018) 95%

(Photo by Sony Pictures Classics)

The year’s big kids are playing in the Original Screenplay category (where Three Billboards, Get Out, and Lady Bird will duke it out) leaving James Ivory with a fairly clear path to victory for his much-lauded take on André Aciman’s novel. It will be the 89-year-old’s first Oscar victory — ever. Ivory received directing nods for Merchant-Ivory classics The Remains of the Day, Howards End, and A Room with a View, but he never won, and this is his first nomination for writing.


Best Animated Feature: Coco (2017) 97%

(Photo by Walt Disney Studios)

This one is easy. You’d be pretty hard-pressed to find someone who doesn’t like Coco.


Best Foreign Language Film: The Square (2017) 85%

(Photo by Magnolia Pictures)

The Square may have the lowest Tomatometer score of any of the nominees in the category (still a not-too-shabby 82%), and some of the smart money is on the dazzling A Fantastic Woman, but hear us out. The Square has earned multiple Film Critics groups awards, contains one of 2017’s most memorable scenes, was seen by a decent thwack of people (it made almost $1.5 million during its theatrical run) and co-stars a couple of Americans with whom Academy members are familiar. We’re calling an upset.


Best Documentary Feature: Faces Places (Visages, villages) (2017) 99%

(Photo by Cohen Media Group)

With its investigation into Russian sports doping, Icarus is a heavy hitter in this category, as is Last Man in Aleppo, a look at recovery missions in war-torn Syria. Our favorite, though, is Faces Places, the charming collaboration between French New Wave godmother Agnès Varda and photographer/artist JR that weaves a rich tapestry of fading working-class life in the French countryside. Also, we’d love to see a repeat of Varda’s acceptance dance moves from the Governors Awards.


Best Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049 (2017) 87%

(Photo by Stephen Vaughan/Warner Bros.)

We’re predicting a lot of “it’s time” prizes, and there’s nothing more timeist than Roger Deakins’ previous 13 nominations without a single win. Though there’s a lot of CGI in Blade Runner 2049, think about Jared Leto’s wooden sanctuary with reflective water or Harrison Ford’s Vegas stronghold as the intimate areas blessed with Deakins’ trademark splash of hue and color.


Best Film Editing: Dunkirk (2017) 93%

(Photo by Warner Bros.)

While Baby Driver certainly makes splashy use of editing, we think Christopher Nolan’s war epic will take the crown simply because its entire narrative structure absolutely hinges on its ability to transition between concurrent storylines seamlessly. Nolan is no stranger to creative storytelling devices, and his considerable skill has never been employed more poignantly than here.


Best Production Design: Blade Runner 2049 (2017) 87%

(Photo by Warner Bros.)

Bigger is better this year. This is a movie where every room and location had to be imagined to exist 32 years in the future, but from the vantage point of a dystopian 1981. The sets feel lived-in with bleak purpose and history, the city skylines rising mystic and ominous.


Best Costume Design: Phantom Thread (2018) 92%

(Photo by Focus Features)

The film, starring Daniel Day-Lewis as a renowned dressmaker in 1950s London, has fashion at its very core. Costume designer Mark Bridges, who previously won an Oscar for his work on 2011’s The Artist and was also nominated for 2014 drama Inherent Vice, here evokes the most glamorous work of fashion icon, 35-time Oscar nominee, and eight-time winner Edith Head.


Best Original Score: The Shape of Water (2017) 92%

(Photo by Fox Searchlight Pictures)

A great musical score can often go unnoticed because it blends so seamlessly into its film, and there are certainly a couple of nominees in this category this might apply to. That said, Alexandre Desplat’s enchanting music, magical with a hint of a sinister streak, goes a long way in making The Shape of Water feel like the quietly haunting fairy tale that it is.


Best Original Song: “This Is Me” – The Greatest Showman (2017) 56%

(Photo by Niko Tavernise/20th Century Fox Film Corp.)

We love “Remember Me” and “Mystery of Love” just as much as the next person with even a modicum of taste. But we aren’t arguing with your mom’s Spotify play count.


Best Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049 (2017) 87%

(Photo by Warner Bros.)

With the series frequently and purposely bereft of emotion, a lot of watching Blade Runner is simply luxuriating in its world. The visual effects take us there, and make something as simple as a three-way sex scene with an android, an imprinted human, and a bounty hunter a thing of beauty.


Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Darkest Hour (2017) 85%

(Photo by Jack English/Focus Features)

Darkest Hour impressed for its thorough and seamless transformation of its lead, Gary Oldman, into British Prime Minister Winston Churchill. This is the third nomination for Kazuhiro Tsuji and first for David Malinowski and Lucy Sibbick.


Best Sound Mixing: Dunkirk (2017) 93%

(Photo by Melinda Sue Gordon/Warner Bros.)

Some will be quick to point out Baby Driver‘s clever use of gunfire and windshield wipers to keep time with the action onscreen, but Dunkirk relies so heavily on sound to immerse audiences in the thick of battle that we find it difficult to imagine it will be beat. Plus, war movies traditionally do very well in the sound categories, and we’re expecting that to be the case here.


Best Sound Editing: Dunkirk (2017) 93%

(Photo by Melinda Sue Gordon/Warner Bros.)

Having said all that about sound mixing, it’s worth noting that Dunkirk‘s supervising sound editor, Richard King, went to great lengths to create the aural experience of the film. How great, you ask? He interviewed actual veterans to gain insight into what they heard on the battlefield. He researched and rebuilt from scratch one of the famous German dive-bombing sirens — which don’t exist anywhere any more — to capture its signature wail. This all may not be immediately apparent, but the overall effect of King’s work is a rich soundscape that plays a huge part in the film.


Best Short Film (Animated): Dear Basketball (2017) 75%

(Photo by ShortsTV)

Look, we’re not saying Dear Basketball is the best entry in this category — the handmade wonder Negative Space seems to be the favorite in terms of cinematic quality. That said, you probably shouldn’t underestimate the sheer number of nostalgic Lakers fans in the academy.


Best Short Film (Live Action): DeKalb Elementary (2017) 92%

(Photo by ShortsTV)

Riveting, tense, and powerfully acted, DeKalb Elementary would be a good bet to win this category in any year. However, in the midst of a national debate about gun violence, the film — based upon a real-life school shooting incident — is an absolute lock.


Best Documentary (Short Subject): Heroin(e) (2017) 100%

A hopeful film about a heartbreaking subject, Heroin(e) is the tale of three strong women fighting the scourge of opioid abuse in Huntington, WV. It’s also on Netflix, which means it’s readily available for Academy voters to watch.

Tag Cloud

biography technology renewed TV shows Teen Winners Dark Horse Comics Comedy RT History werewolf Rom-Com Binge Guide Apple TV Plus slashers X-Men quibi Tomatazos SundanceTV Country IFC Films composers Oscars cooking golden globes Anna Paquin Schedule Toys Bravo Marvel Television USA Network PBS DC Comics Rocky zombies Polls and Games foreign OWN discovery Photos Netflix Christmas movies joker stand-up comedy Quiz animated talk show TV Land WGN TCA Creative Arts Emmys Superheroes Lifetime Christmas movies Musicals Drama ghosts aliens video Extras GIFs BBC thriller Fantasy Mystery NBC Universal latino unscripted Sony Pictures Election halloween Kids & Family Turner Classic Movies Cannes miniseries cancelled television Rocketman spinoff Calendar CW Seed sag awards 007 Shondaland versus cancelled TV shows zero dark thirty OneApp romance children's TV Nat Geo Logo 2015 DC Universe Reality Competition book robots FOX LGBTQ spy thriller singing competition hist movies New York Comic Con USA HBO Max dogs medical drama festivals Trophy Talk Film Festival dramedy Musical Endgame mutant Grammys Set visit National Geographic CMT Netflix cults facebook spain justice league WarnerMedia Christmas The Arrangement cats vampires San Diego Comic-Con nature ABC Family Freeform 2016 TV renewals Comics on TV LGBT revenge Warner Bros. Chernobyl FXX psychological thriller 2018 SDCC Esquire Sundance TV comic Music Shudder Pop Discovery Channel casting Amazon Prime Video E3 Hulu Food Network blockbuster Arrowverse 2020 tv talk teaser Comic Book VH1 TV Syfy Lionsgate supernatural Walt Disney Pictures true crime 45 Superheroe cars TNT breaking bad TCA Winter 2020 Mary poppins Pet Sematary dceu natural history Ellie Kemper free movies DirecTV dragons A24 El Rey directors screen actors guild The Purge zombie Crunchyroll spider-man cops transformers Video Games Emmys Classic Film Tubi historical drama Trivia Starz political drama HBO Epix Year in Review Disney CBS All Access Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt crime drama Fox News 2019 Podcast Apple Mary Poppins Returns crime The Witch Adult Swim Western science fiction kids Fall TV television Brie Larson Amazon Studios Disney+ Disney Plus Song of Ice and Fire YouTube politics adventure First Reviews indie sports green book Character Guide Sneak Peek jamie lee curtis social media Holiday game show ITV Peacock Holidays cartoon GoT boxoffice TIFF Academy Awards ratings Trailer Best and Worst PaleyFest Lifetime cancelled Captain marvel cinemax RT21 Animation 21st Century Fox Family SXSW Turner Heroines Elton John reboot canceled TV shows TCM Nominations documentary theme song Marathons dc Spike Valentine's Day The CW AMC name the review Writers Guild of America Reality cancelled TV series Britbox DGA spanish language Awards Infographic game of thrones hispanic Apple TV+ Action APB TCA 2017 Tarantino YouTube Red Certified Fresh Film Red Carpet Showtime YA series Cosplay CBS MSNBC toy story canceled Masterpiece blaxploitation batman sequel crime thriller Summer BET Chilling Adventures of Sabrina Interview CNN Pirates Opinion Pride Month award winner Nickelodeon Pixar disaster mockumentary Black Mirror docudrama Television Academy sitcom Sundance witnail Acorn TV Amazon Star Trek 2017 Spectrum Originals Thanksgiving Cartoon Network romantic comedy Sci-Fi Countdown Disney Plus travel Awards Tour American Society of Cinematographers comiccon Marvel Studios GLAAD movie Mudbound Avengers Spring TV space comics Women's History Month The Walking Dead finale Winter TV YouTube Premium Ghostbusters south america MCU DC streaming service rotten movies we love independent crossover anthology TruTV Mindy Kaling what to watch elevated horror TBS A&E binge Sundance Now screenings Stephen King 71st Emmy Awards war Lucasfilm Premiere Dates Box Office NYCC Columbia Pictures christmas movies 20th Century Fox richard e. Grant BBC America President Ovation period drama Disney Channel First Look psycho Baby Yoda 24 frames Star Wars Disney streaming service IFC serial killer History Marvel Vudu ESPN Hallmark Horror Watching Series Emmy Nominations MTV Tumblr Hallmark Christmas movies harry potter streaming FX Paramount Network diversity Super Bowl Crackle Paramount See It Skip It Mary Tyler Moore anime Martial Arts based on movie police drama VICE TLC Biopics E! Comedy Central strong female leads adaptation ABC doctor who Rock Amazon Prime