Weekend Box Office

Weekend Box Office Results: No Time to Die Takes Down Venom with $56 Million Opening

Daniel Craig's final turn as 007 topped the box office as expected but didn't do quite as spectacular as some hoped on the weekend of October 8-10, 2021.

by | October 10, 2021 | Comments

We have arrived at a weekend nearly two years in the making — two and a half years if we go back to the start of production on the 25th James Bond film. But after directorial changes and several delays caused by the pandemic, No Time To Die has finally hit theaters with a lot of expectations behind the final appearance of Daniel Craig as 007. Four out of five posted critics recommend the film, which stands at 84% on the Tomatometer, and it follows the biggest opening to date since 2019 from Venom: Let There Be Carnage. Thoughts that it could possibly hit $100 million this weekend were wildly uneducated guesstimates, but let’s look at how it settled into a box office that is starting to enjoy a resurgence, if not a full renaissance.

King of the Crop: No Time to Die Tallies Solid Opening, Aims for $500 Million Worldwide

Daniel Craig in No time to Die

(Photo by Nicola Dove/©MGM)

No Time To Die did not break “records” as one local newscast stated after it grossed $6.3 million on Thursday night with previews. It broke “a” record (singular) when it bested the preview totals for SPECTRE ($5.25 million), Skyfall ($4.6 million) and Quantum of Solace ($2.5 million). That is where the record-breaking ends, but its overall gross this weekend is nothing to sneeze at either. A $23.4 million Friday and $56 million weekend is the fifth best of the pandemic in both categories. That placement will probably hold until next month’s Eternals opens, unless Dune truly breaks free of its HBO MAX limitations.

The disappointment that may be lingering around a $56 million start is that it could not actually outgross SPECTRE’s opening weekend of $70.4 million. A $75 million beginning was a hope many held, though in normal times a drop in attendance after a disappointing entry would not be a surprise. It is nearly universally agreed that SPECTRE is the weakest Craig entry – 63% on the Tomatometer compared to Quantum’s 65% – but these aren’t normal times, and while Venom: Let There Be Carnage may seem like an outlier at the moment (we’ll catch up on those numbers in a bit), even the sequels deemed pandemic successes are showing a drop in percentage from their previous outings.

Taking out both films available as hybrid streamers and previous entries that grossed less than $100 million (direct ones, not reboots like Snake Eyes), that brings us back to A Quiet Place Part II and F9. Those films (currently the third- and fourth-highest grossing films of the period) are off 14.87% and 23.45%, respectfully. Though early, No Time To Die is on pace to finish somewhere between the $160 million and $173 million that those two films earned. Where will that put it in comparison to SPECTRE? Down between 14-20%, right in line with the drop of those other blockbuster sequels. Carve that up however you want between word of mouth, lack of repeat viewing, franchise fatigue, or a portion of the community still biding their time to wait for theatrical releases to be available at home due to the continuing pandemic. The good news for us is that the numbers on our national catastrophe are headed in the right direction; the good news for No Time To Die is that not only are its domestic totals looking to be remarkably consistent with the trends, but it will also become just the second film to reach a half-billion worldwide during this time. It is already over $313 million. So curb the disappointment.

The Top 10 and Beyond: Venom: Let There Be Carnage Drops but Still on Track for $200 Million

Venom: Let There Be Carnage

(Photo by ©Sony Pictures)

Now let’s get back to those Venom: Let There Be Carnage numbers: $90 million last weekend; top opener of the pandemic; $10 million higher than the first film; $200 million guaranteed. Well, let’s gently tap the breaks on that last one. The number that Sony’s Marvel sequel wanted to hit this weekend was $37.1 million. 114 films have grossed at least that much in their second weekend, and all of them passed $200 million. The number Sony wanted to avoid? Anything under $30 million. The number reached? $32 million, closer to the latter after a 64% drop. Black Widow and F9 fell over 67% and opened to $10-20 million less. 189 films have grossed as much in weekend two; how many of them reached $200 million? 169. Let There Be Carnage still has an 89.4% chance to become just the second film of the pandemic to reach that goal based on that total, and in its favor is the half-empty side of the equation.

The first film grossed $35 million in its second weekend and had $142 million at this point; $32 million this weekend still puts the sequel over $140 million. No film (out of 119) with that much in the tank after 10 days has failed to reach $200 million. That includes films that even grossed a bit less than Carnage, like Solo: A Star Wars Story ($29.3 million), Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince ($29.4 million), 2005’s War of the Worlds ($30.4 million), and 2014’s Godzilla ($30.9 million). Plus it should get a nice boost from the Monday holiday. But what about next weekend? What happens if it drops down to between $16-17 million? Only 14 of 32 films with a third weekend that low reached $200 million. That’s also the half-empty side, as it would still put Venom: Let There Be Carnage around $167 million, and no film with at least $165 million after 17 days missed the milestone. With a now hybrid streaming Halloween Kills opening next week, Venom still has a pretty comfy cushion even if it ends up closer to the original film’s gross between $200-210 million than what Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings is going to achieve.

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

(Photo by Jasin Boland/©Marvel Studios)

Speaking of that film, its $4.2 million was the second-best sixth weekend of the era, behind Free Guy ($5.08 million) and just ahead of A Quiet Place Part II ($4.10 million). Its total of $212.5 million is just behind (in weekend and gross) where The Lost World: Jurassic Park was after 38 days, so its final tally in the vicinity of $225 million still holds, while it becomes just the third film of the pandemic to cross $400 million worldwideThe Addams Family 2 had an OK hold after an OK opening, down 43% to $10 million. At $31 million it is behind the pace of The Boss Baby: Family Business ($34.9 million), which was streaming for free on Peacock during release, while Addams is on VOD for $19.99. But its second weekend was about a million higher than Baby, putting a $50 million gross in play if its dips do not get more erratic and it has one more weekend before Ron’s Gone Wrong attempts to wring some dough out of a depleted family market.

Warner Bros. must really be sweating out the release of Dune, dreading what their HBO MAX decision may have cost them, but anticipating an opening gross of at least $15 million. That is something that cannot be said for six of their releases this year, including Oscar-winner Judas and the Black Messiah, Those Who Wish Me Dead, Reminiscence, Malignant, Cry Macho and now The Many Saints of Newark which fell to $1.4 million this weekend for a total of $7.4 million. That’s four releases in a row. A24’s Lamb put up a respectable $1 million in just 583 theaters, comparable to Focus’ release of Paul Schrader’s The Card Counter, which opened to $1.03 million in 580 theaters and has grossed over $2.6 million to date. Finally, Greenwich Entertainment’s release of The Rescue, the incredible true story of the Thai soccer team trapped in a cave for weeks, grossed $81,000 in five theaters. It is just the ninth film of the pandemic to post a $10,000+ per-theater-average, and its sixth-best $16,200 PTA ranks below Venom: Let There Be Carnage, Black Widow, Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings, the Vietnamese film Bo Gia, and F9.

On the Vine: Halloween Kills Hopes to Make a Killing at the Box Office

Halloween Kills

(Photo by ©Universal Pictures)

The second chapter of David Gordon Green’s Michael Myers trilogy, Halloween Kills, opens in theaters next week while also streaming for free on Peacock. Word of mouth was not great on the 2018 first film after a very frontloaded opening; how much will streaming cut out of the already likely diminished returns on the sequel? Exclusively in theaters will also be Ridley Scott’s The Last Duel with Matt Damon, Adam Driver, Jodie Comer, and Ben Affleck. The historical drama will be another test to see if there is any progress on the adult demographic coming back to theaters. The first of Scott’s two films slated for release this fall (House of Gucci opens next month) is currently Fresh at 76% on the Tomatometer.

Full List of Box Office Results: October 8-10, 2021

  • $56 million ($56 million total)

  • $32 million ($141.7 million total)

  • $10 million ($31.1 million total)

  • $4.2 million ($212.5 million total)

  • $1.5 million ($7.4 million total)

  • $1.3 million ($119.7 million total)

  • $1 million ($13.7 million total)

  • $1 million ($1 million total)

  • $700,000 ($60.1 million total)

  • $214,000 ($116.5 million total)

Erik Childress can be heard each week evaluating box office on Business First AM with Angela Miles and his Movie Madness Podcast.

[box office figures via Box Office Mojo]

On an Apple device? Follow Rotten Tomatoes on Apple News.

Tag Cloud

debate Apple Valentine's Day feel good TV One Black History Month movie Song of Ice and Fire Classic Film Amazon Studios TIFF cults basketball adaptation halloween tv TCM Travel Channel HBO Holiday south america Mary Tyler Moore reboot The Witch TruTV Fall TV golden globes sopranos Comic Book Box Office docuseries Adult Swim asian-american crime thriller kaiju scary movies Binge Guide mcc FX on Hulu ID The Purge natural history fast and furious Family Winners Musical olympics french TCA 2017 police drama Paramount A&E Sundance TV technology Paramount Plus screen actors guild Brie Larson Columbia Pictures Kids & Family razzies breaking bad zombies witnail Amazon tv talk DirecTV Arrowverse Apple TV+ versus hist AMC Plus independent supernatural The Arrangement kids joker venice green book Christmas TV renewals Premiere Dates Baby Yoda unscripted nature hollywood Mudbound Hallmark talk show chucky Emmys BBC films Horror Chernobyl award winner Holidays strong female leads aapi indie NBA spinoff justice league Reality Ghostbusters TV movies reviews fresh indiana jones archives laika First Reviews 99% Image Comics PBS Funimation italian satire worst movies australia batman video foreign crime drama Lionsgate legend cops finale The Walking Dead spy thriller Martial Arts Pacific Islander Netflix Christmas movies Nickelodeon BET anime cancelled TV shows Western Acorn TV sitcom Polls and Games Universal Pictures ABC Family blockbusters Podcast Disney mockumentary theme song Pride Month Apple TV Plus mission: impossible universal monsters TNT book Thanksgiving series rotten WGN comic book movies Lifetime Christmas movies toy story hispanic 45 Elton John FXX animated Avengers Pixar Set visit Shudder Spring TV El Rey rt archives documentary Alien TLC remakes Endgame Warner Bros. cats action-comedy comic books boxing documentaries Awards Tour marvel comics japanese television CW Seed quibi anthology deadpool Rocketman VOD game of thrones Creative Arts Emmys sequels Marvel Television singing competition Vudu 2021 vampires DGA target Trivia A24 twilight Super Bowl Writers Guild of America 90s aliens Discovery Channel Walt Disney Pictures trailers USA Amazon Prime The Walt Disney Company Superheroe football teaser classics Video Games DC Universe Turner Classic Movies prank Schedule dogs travel toronto Neflix Stephen King Grammys Food Network slasher Esquire Syfy Animation Spike christmas movies History WarnerMedia diversity a nightmare on elm street Tomatazos Sci-Fi cinemax Emmy Nominations FX VH1 Quiz Exclusive Video news AMC dragons stand-up comedy CBS All Access critic resources Opinion Country superman Anna Paquin Starz Freeform The CW Disney streaming service historical drama Winter TV jurassic park Pet Sematary cooking BET Awards disaster Reality Competition black Black Mirror cartoon 2015 Sony Pictures stop motion 93rd Oscars obituary monster movies Turner Cosplay TV Television Critics Association social media mob binge 2016 hidden camera what to watch stoner parents Masterpiece casting YouTube VICE 4/20 Peacock Disney Channel comic Extras elevated horror crime Tarantino discovery X-Men Fox Searchlight rom-coms marvel cinematic universe black comedy high school YA psycho ABC Comic-Con@Home 2021 Teen festivals Nat Geo all-time spanish language golden globe awards Interview President harry potter Nominations young adult Pop PlayStation sequel Marathons E3 OWN Mary poppins Comics on TV Cartoon Network Mary Poppins Returns Disney Plus Superheroes streaming movies GoT werewolf transformers boxoffice YouTube Premium Cannes children's TV international latino screenings Summer Rom-Com heist movie lord of the rings Sneak Peek 007 medical drama comics Mindy Kaling japan sports concert canceled franchise Lifetime Pop TV period drama spanish comedies Best and Worst Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt SDCC Countdown Hear Us Out Heroines Paramount Network new york BBC One 78th Annual Golden Globe Awards 2019 Trophy Talk Watching Series Fantasy APB zombie spain political drama 24 frames Crunchyroll Showtime comiccon San Diego Comic-Con 1990s RT21 Chilling Adventures of Sabrina USA Network ABC Signature wonder woman ESPN biopic cars Certified Fresh name the review doctor who Rocky GIFs Britbox cancelled television Tubi TCA Winter 2020 Hulu YouTube Red richard e. Grant BAFTA Marvel Awards superhero space Infographic die hard Epix rt labs zero dark thirty king arthur TV Land Year in Review Logo war Toys NYCC MCU saw science fiction king kong book adaptation Photos Bravo 2020 rotten movies we love Trailer Tumblr Comedy posters kong cancelled TV series revenge dceu art house Lucasfilm Ovation know your critic festival vs. rt labs critics edition Amazon Prime Video Academy Awards Spectrum Originals MSNBC National Geographic The Academy RT History nfl renewed TV shows royal family American Society of Cinematographers New York Comic Con CBS true crime jamie lee curtis Election politics emmy awards Red Carpet Pirates ITV IFC scene in color sag awards Netflix Star Wars Sundance Mystery biography OneApp SundanceTV spider-man cancelled Women's History Month Action dexter ghosts spider-verse godzilla halloween Drama Sundance Now dreamworks Musicals game show 73rd Emmy Awards women NBC 71st Emmy Awards new star wars movies movies based on movie TBS Calendar MTV popular 2018 ViacomCBS genre TCA DC streaming service ratings Star Trek crossover docudrama HBO Go slashers 72 Emmy Awards Character Guide facebook Fox News Instagram Live criterion FOX critics new zealand child's play free movies DC Comics romance Dark Horse Comics Hallmark Christmas movies dc 21st Century Fox IFC Films Crackle CMT First Look gangster HBO Max pirates of the caribbean worst Broadway composers See It Skip It Comedy Central dark robots Ellie Kemper canceled TV shows psychological thriller Shondaland miniseries dramedy Oscars 20th Century Fox GLAAD telelvision Disney+ Disney Plus james bond Marvel Studios adventure Captain marvel adenture live action Biopics Television Academy serial killer comic book movie streaming blaxploitation Film Legendary thriller mutant LGBTQ Universal Music suspense E! romantic comedy Wes Anderson Rock video on demand hispanic heritage month LGBT directors nbcuniversal Tokyo Olympics IMDb TV PaleyFest blockbuster Film Festival CNN 2017 best live event scorecard TCA Awards SXSW BBC America scary